RFL2k Faulty Forecast

• 1) wang 207.09

  as long as emmitt and james stewart stay healthy [knock knock], i feel that the Fire in the Hole RB situation is in good hands. i also like the kerry collins to amani toomer combination - although rob johnson will be the starter until the magic flutie stabs him in the back. sharpe and wilkins should be a little above average, so the key will be finding a 2nd WR to pair with toomer. mathis and engram have potential. northcutt was a bit of a reach in the 12th round.
  
  

• 2) gary 182.53

  edgerrin was the no-brainer at #1. i also like westbrook and elam. there are a lot of question marks regarding %$#@!&'s other 4 starting positions. will kitna perform at a high level again? will rhett hang onto the RB job AND put up some decent numbers? will a #2 WR emerge from qadry/morton/dawkins? will lafleur catch anywhere near 7 TDs again? grbac is a good sub for kitna, rhett probably will need replacing, there's a good #2 WR in there, and TE is a crapshoot after Gonzalez and Walls.
  
  

• 3) joepa 172.11

  after making his way to last year's Aglione Bowl with ninja-like stealth, joepa has much more respect from me this year. although fred taylor is dinged up now, terrell davis and fred will make an unstoppable RB duo come playoff time. gannon to galloway is also a top-notch passing tandem. when healthy, sloan is an above average TE. lion teammate hanson is a solid PK. solid production is expected from the #2 WR spot - whether it be from holt, kevin johnson or david boston. if this team peaks during the playoffs, there might be no one to stop Black Ops from winning Aglione Bowl XI.
  
  

• 4) vesh 148.76

  duce and dillon are a solid RB pair. t richardson is KC's anointed starter, but 45 yards and 0 TDs every week doesn't mean squat in RFL. shaun alexander should take r watters' starting spot by the time dillon gets 10-15 for spousal abuse. tim brown and vanderjagt are also very solid. vesh's aerial assault is completed with the duo of brad johnson to albert connell. as long as johnson's toe doesn't fall off, vesh's team should be very solid... but another loss in the 1st round of the playoffs is entirely likely.
  
  

• 5) cals 142.2

  according to my very complex numerical modeling system, cals' starting 7 was 1 of only 2 squads (joepa had the other) where every projected starter had a non-negative value. stover was a 0 for cals. holt and hanson were 0's for joepa. isaac bruce, jamal anderson and t biakabutuka are the projected stars on Fresh Squeezed. however, each has a *recent* history of debilitating boo-boos. mcnown and crowell are also quite good. pollard and dilger will rock-paper-scissors for the colt TE TD once every 3 games.
  
  

• 6) tim 140.01

  the Carpet Bombers' weaknesses are minor - TE and PK. coates was washed up 2 years ago. longwell will not get many scoring opportunities once favre opts for season-ending surgery. kurt warner, wheatley, jimmy smith and derrick mayes should all be high-achievers. watters might have a tough time holding off shaun alexander in seattle, but tim shrewdly drafted jr redmond - who will probably displace k faulk at about the same time (if not sooner).
  
  

• 7) adam 107.93

  i really like Curly Back Hair's RB twosome of stephen davis and charlie garner (taking s davis over m faulk at #2 was quite interesting). i think o mare will also kick loads of FGs, since miami has no one to score TDs. i expect beuerlein to sign a big $ extension tomorrow, and i fully expect him to earn it this year (even though Aglione Bowl X MVP p jeffers is out for the year). if pete mitchell gets healthy, he'll produce. the key for adam is getting solid numbers from his WRs (rocket, tim dwight, oronde and shawn jefferson).
  
  

• 8) ali 88.43

  m faulk slipped to the Heirs to the Ayatollah at #3, and ali was quite happy to welcome marshall into the fold - especially with the new 50 yard rule. robert smith and wycheck are also big on the yardage numbers - and light on the TDs. del greco should get plenty of points with Tennessee's pickens-injected offense. QB and WR is where ali's club hangs in the balance. d culpepper could be *BOOM* or *BUST*. how hard can it be to lob balls out there for moss and carter? we'll find out this year. chrebet, jacquez and dyson... i think there's a need for help here.
  
  

• 9) clark 87.36

  eddie george, carl pickens and freddie jones should be doing plenty of Indecipherable Jive Talk-ing for clark this year. thomas jones has already claimed the Cardinals' starting RB job, but will he be an edgerrin or a ricky williams in his rookie year? testaverde and greasy gives clark a slightly below average QB pair, and warrick and donald hayes might be hard-pressed to produce at a #2 WR level. g anderson was ranked pretty low in many preseason projections, but i think the Vikes will give him many scoring opportunities.
  
  

• 10) joebob 75.57

  todd peterson?!? worse yet... kris heppner?!?!? how the "mighty" have fallen. :,-( trying to cover up for drafting deficiencies by feigning a lack of preparedness... signing all emails as a self-proclaimed "guru"... it's all quite sad. aside from heppner, this team was built for 1998 (or 1997). chris chandler, dorsey levens, jerome bettis, cris carter, ed mccaffrey, wesley walls... Na Brown's Boys are RFL's version of the Niners - without the past glory. poor salary cap management, faulty loyalty to talentless veterans, ... the only positive thing about joebob's charges this year is a (relative) lack of the criminal element.
  
  

• 11) wally 74.13

  each year i always have a team that places much lower in my numerical model than i would place normally. this year that team is wally's. i really like how Crazed Beagles was able to build a star-studded passing game (p manning, m robinson, a freeman, j riemersma) while still putting together a capable set of RBs (w dunn, k faulk and o gary). can k faulk hold off jr redmond? will terrell davis stay healthy all season? wally's alliance must dictate the answers to these questions. and as long as janikowski doesn't get deported back to poland, the PK points should come rolling in.
  
  

• 12) stan 67.27

  The Armchair Quarterback Adventure Playset (tm) trio of air mcnair, ron dayne and rickey dudley should prove to be quite prolific. the other 4 starting spots could prove to be quite the enigma. cloud, fazande, j allen and r rivers don't appear to add up to a #2 RB between all 4 of them. t glenn, rob smith, j horn and mccardell could struggle to fill the 2 WR spots. and starting a NO Saints PK is never a good thing. mcnair was a fast climber on many draftboards, but taking him at #12? that was most ballsy.
  
  

• 13) kevin 55.59

  Minnesota Nice's RB duo of c martin and r williams is quite good. jamal lewis is a high-quality 3rd RB. i also like stephen alexander and john carney to put up decent numbers this year. the smaller problem would appear to be at QB. bledsoe's development seems to've fallen short of where "experts" projected him to go. plummer seems to be all hype and no skills. the largest problem for kevin is in starting 2 RFL-quality WRs every week. frank sanders, jake reed, tony martin, derrick alexander and curtis conway is a motley crew.
  
  

• 14) brodz 49.36

  considering brodz' pass-catching trio of marvin harrison, eric moulds and tony gonzalez... i did not expect to find this team ranked so lowly. but upon closer inspection, the talent at QB and RB is highly questionable. t banks (although the winning starting QB in Aglione Bowl X) will most likely be re-exposed as a hack this year, and tim couch most likely won't fare much better. antowain smith, travis prentice, ahman green and fred beasley makes for a most meager quartet of RBs. hollis should prove to be an average PK.
  
  

• 15) richard 18.26

  i like richard's core of randy moss, keyshawn and curtis enis. i also expect brunell to bounce back this year - especially if the Jags continue to have RB woes this season. gramatica could battle vanderjagt for all-RFL honors this year. the problems i see are as follows: a) although enis would make a fine #2 RB, there is no #1 RB on this team (nap kaufman is the only other RB currently on the roster). b) bubba franks has the potential to score big, but too many things could go wrong. c) the overall talent level on this team seems to be a little low. although i said i "like" the core of this team, i've got no *love* for the core.
  
  

• 16) shivan 14.41

  without cousin snehal around to cover up for shiv's inexperience, this once revered Team Desai franchise is clearly showing growing pains. when the 2 team leaders are alstott and a rag-armed favre... that team is in *BIG* trouble. there's no #2 RB, the WR foursome (muhsin, t owens, az hakim and ike hilliard) is not fearsome in the least, blindly picking the Ram TE will get you nowhere, and the PK pairing of conway and daluiso is weak. what Nasty Pimps *NEEDS* is a tiki barber!
  

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